As we have been projecting throughout this election season, NDA is increasing its vote-share in at least 4 states of the core-zone – Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Delhi – while it is losing some votes in 5 states – Karnataka, Haryana, Maharashtra, Bihar and Rajasthan. Yet, our models indicate that in the core zone, BJP+ is net gaining about 1 percentage point from 2019.
Overall, in this zone, NDA should win 281 seats, though it must be stressed here that we haven’t polled Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh, so our models are either using third party data or simply extrapolating current data of other parts on to past data to project the overall tally.
In a hyper-wave election, BJP may maximise its seats in
Our Final Projections for 2024
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May 25, 2024. Dr. Praveen PatilHow is the election finally shaping up? The Evening Report of Phase 6
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May 25, 2024. Dr. Praveen PatilThe Final Phase 2 PM looks at the contrast of two military states
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May 10, 2024. Dr. Praveen PatilThe stunning numbers from Phase 4 in the evening report
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Comments
Any particular call out on VIP constituency? Major surprises?
Zone by zone Very depth analysis and much possible for the BJP to get around 325-338 seats. above that are all bonus seats
Amazing analysis as usual
punjab and rajasthan seats sir?